Hannover are great value to upset Atletico Madrid

After a close first leg Adam Bate thinks the home side could pull off a shock win at great odds and upset the tournament favourites in at the AWD Arena in Germany.Salvio’s last-minute winner in Madrid last week gives the Spanish visitors a narrow 2-1 lead going into the second-leg of this Europa League quarter-final against Hannover. Atletico come into this one after a comfortable 3-0 victory over Getafe at the weekend and are short-odds favourites to qualify at 3/10 (1.3) with Sportingbet.Hannover will have other ideas though and may be encouraged by Atleti's poor away form this season. While the Spanish side have been beaten just twice in 15 home games in La Liga, they’ve only won two from 15 on their travels.Hannover are unbeaten at home in the Bundesliga this season and will be confident of getting the job done here. They are the 9/4 (3.25) outsiders which seems to offer great value and looks overpriced considering the German side have home advantage and proved they could compete well with Los Colchoneros in the first leg.Perhaps the bookmakers’ confidence in Atletico stems from the knowledge that they have the firepower to get the away goals that will make Hannover’s task so difficult.Radamel Falcao has been as reliable a goalscorer for Los Colchoneros as he was at Porto and is in good form – scoring in five of the last seven league games. Falcao is 4/1 (5.0) favourite with Sportingbet to net first here.Hannover’s best chance of a goal comes in the shape of former Manchester United man Mame Biram Diouf.The Senegal international has scored eight goals in 12 games since his January move to Germany, netting in the first leg of this tie and scoring in all four of his Bundesliga home matches for his new club. Diouf is 6/1 (7.0) to grab the opener in this one.Given Diouf’s impressive start to his career at his new club, backing him to score first at 6/1 (7.0) is tempting. With the home fans likely to be in a vociferous mood, expect a strong start from Hannover, and for the pick of the bets consider the good price on offer for the German side to at least win the leg at 9/5 (2.8) with Sportingbet.