8 factors behind the fall in oil prices
Last Updated : GMT 06:49:16
Arab Today, arab today
Arab Today, arab today
Last Updated : GMT 06:49:16
Arab Today, arab today

8 factors behind the fall in oil prices

Arab Today, arab today

Arab Today, arab today 8 factors behind the fall in oil prices

Jeddah - Arab Today

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies from outside of the group last month extended a deal to curb their production by 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) for another nine months, ending in March 2018. In spite of that agreement, oil prices are still weak and they are trending down for four weeks in a row.
Here are eight factors that are behind the current fall in oil prices:
1. High exports from OPEC: Despite the reduction in production from oil producers, the level of exports is still high as many tanker-tracking data showed. Morgan Stanley in a report on June 8 said that tanker-tracking data showed that waterborne exports increased strongly in May across the world, up by 2.2 million bpd from April and 3.3 million bpd from May 2016.
2. High global oil inventories: Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih told Arab News’ sister publication Asharq Al-Awsat in an interview on June 19 that oil inventories globally are down following the deal. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD) oil stocks went down by 65 million barrels from their peak in July 2016. However, Al-Falih acknowledged that US stocks are falling less than expected. As for the market, the fall in inventories is too slow to trigger a price response. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that oil stocks in the OECD are still at 292 million barrels above their five-year average. Energy researcher Bernstein estimates that US stocks must go down by 4 million barrels every week for it to go back to normal levels.
3. Concerns on gasoline demand: The outlook for US gasoline consumption this summer is a concern. Gasoline stocks rose 2.1 million barrels and gasoline inventories currently sit at 242.4 million barrels, or 9 percent, above the five-year average of 223 million barrels, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data.
4. Increase in the number of rigs: The number of US oil rigs is continuing to rise. Drillers added more oil rigs for a 22nd straight week, marking the biggest streak in at least three decades, according to weekly data from Baker Hughes released on June 16.
5. Worries about supply in 2018: The IEA said in its report on June 14 that supply from non-OPEC producers next year may offset cuts from OPEC and its allies. Oil demand is set to grow by 1.4 million bpd in 2018 but supplies outside OPEC will grow even faster, by almost 1.5 million bpd.
6. Oil prices in contango: Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crudes, down almost 15 percent since late May, are both trading in contango, with forward prices higher all the way into the next decade. Contango is a structure that normally denotes weak demand for spot cargoes as it means oil prices in the future are higher than today’s, thus it makes producers store crude for future sale.
7. Return of oil output from Libya, Nigeria: Libyan oil production this week is up by 200,000 to 300,000 bpd from early May. Nigeria is also pushing for an additional output of 200,000 bpd this month. The market is concerned that this will add to oversupply, but Al-Falih said on June 19 that the increase is within agreed limits set by the original deal last year.
8. Speculation: Al-Falih blamed volatility in oil prices on speculative trading as many are trading on headlines and on forecasts of supply growth from resources “that may not happen.”

Source: Arab News

arabstoday
arabstoday

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

8 factors behind the fall in oil prices 8 factors behind the fall in oil prices

 



Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

8 factors behind the fall in oil prices 8 factors behind the fall in oil prices

 



GMT 23:24 2017 Tuesday ,24 January

Mofida Shiha prefers social TV programs to politics

GMT 21:23 2017 Sunday ,13 August

Fierce clashes between Daesh, SDF in Raqqah

GMT 19:31 2017 Monday ,16 October

Azhar Imam, Mufti to inaugurate international Fatwa

GMT 18:33 2017 Tuesday ,28 March

S. Korea Preparing for N. Korean ICBM Launch

GMT 23:39 2017 Tuesday ,19 September

Iran recruits Afghans, Pakistanis to fight in Syria

GMT 03:51 2017 Saturday ,11 November

'Lazarus' Daly says recovery no miracle

GMT 13:30 2017 Friday ,17 February

Four killed in Kashmir Gun battle

GMT 18:51 2017 Friday ,17 November

FIA WEC Bapco 6 Hours of Bahrain weekend starts

GMT 00:56 2017 Tuesday ,22 August

Britain calls on EU to move Brexit talks forward

GMT 18:56 2017 Wednesday ,01 February

Russia calls for Syria's return to Arab League

GMT 02:29 2017 Wednesday ,08 November

World's richest turf contest hikes prize money

GMT 10:33 2017 Saturday ,15 April

Chicago airport security under fire

GMT 16:30 2017 Sunday ,19 March

100,000 starve while S. Sudan buys weapons

GMT 23:09 2017 Thursday ,30 November

ERC distributes winter aid to Syrian refugees in Jordan
Arab Today, arab today
 
 Arab Today Facebook,arab today facebook  Arab Today Twitter,arab today twitter Arab Today Rss,arab today rss  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube  Arab Today Youtube,arab today youtube

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2021 ©

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2021 ©

arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday arabstoday arabstoday
arabstoday
بناية النخيل - رأس النبع _ خلف السفارة الفرنسية _بيروت - لبنان
arabstoday, Arabstoday, Arabstoday